Utah Politics 2016: the McMullin Scenario

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Utah Politics 2016: the McMullin Scenario

Postby Tony Crocker » Wed Oct 26, 2016 8:04 pm

Here's a :stir: for admin: http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/her ... e-in-utah/

Evan McMullin is now given a 20% chance to win Utah because most Mormons can't stomach Trump. There's also a 1 in 3,000 chance McMullin becomes president due to a deadlocked Electoral College throwing the election into the House of Representatives. The latter situation is remote because Mormon distaste for Trump is hurting him in neighboring states, and if Trump loses Arizona, that means the overall election is an Electoral College blowout.

At any rate, I'd be interested how this is playing in the local Utah media, and what admin and others right-of-center in Utah think. IIRC admin lost a bet to jamesdeluxe on the 2012 election, but I'm guessing he wouldn't quarrel too much with the Donald's projected 15% chance of winning in 2016.

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Re: Utah Politics 2016: the McMullin Scenario

Postby Admin » Wed Oct 26, 2016 10:05 pm

This is a ski forum, right?
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Re: Utah Politics 2016: the McMullin Scenario

Postby jamesdeluxe » Thu Oct 27, 2016 4:37 am

Tony Crocker wrote:IIRC admin lost a bet to jamesdeluxe on the 2012 election, but I'm guessing he wouldn't quarrel too much with the Donald's projected 15% chance of winning in 2016.

I offered him 10-1 odds for this year's election, but he wouldn't bite.
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Re: Utah Politics 2016: the McMullin Scenario

Postby jasoncapecod » Thu Oct 27, 2016 5:30 am

OBAMA!!!!
Oh wait ..that was 4yrs ago
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Re: Utah Politics 2016: the McMullin Scenario

Postby Marc_C » Thu Oct 27, 2016 2:42 pm

Admin wrote:This is a ski forum, right?

Some forums have a specific area for off-topic discussion. MountainProject.com has the "community" forum. Supertopo.com often wrestles with splitting its single forum into two - one for climbing, the other for everything else.
My opinion - perhaps something to think about. However, the 2-forum proposal often suggested on supertopo is too sparse, while MP is waaaaaaay too fragmented: http://www.mountainproject.com/forums/
-marc
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Re: Utah Politics 2016: the McMullin Scenario

Postby Tony Crocker » Thu Oct 27, 2016 4:23 pm

Any attempt to edit my post above for typos gets this message:

403 Forbidden
A potentially unsafe operation has been detected in your request to this site.
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Re: Utah Politics 2016: the McMullin Scenario

Postby Admin » Thu Oct 27, 2016 5:04 pm

Tony Crocker wrote:Any attempt to edit my post above for typos gets this message:

403 Forbidden
A potentially unsafe operation has been detected in your request to this site.


Yes, I'm already aware of the issue. The same problem appears when trying to attach photos to a post. I'm working on it.
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Re: Utah Politics 2016: the McMullin Scenario

Postby Admin » Thu Oct 27, 2016 5:20 pm

Should be fixed now, I can now upload images without throwing a 403 error. Tony, feel free to re-try your edits and report back.
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Re: Utah Politics 2016: the McMullin Scenario

Postby Tony Crocker » Sat Oct 29, 2016 3:11 pm

Still throwing the 403 error.

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Season length: 21 months, Nov. 29, 2010 - July 2, 2012
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Re: Utah Politics 2016: the McMullin Scenario

Postby Admin » Sat Oct 29, 2016 5:14 pm

Perhaps clear your cache, etc. -- you can see that I successfully edited your last post.
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Re: Utah Politics 2016: the McMullin Scenario

Postby Tony Crocker » Sun Oct 30, 2016 12:45 pm

I edited the same last post successfully. The original post still will not edit, even after clearing cache and cookies, and trying a second browser. You are welcome to try editing the original post.

Not a big deal, as long as future posts, picture uploads, etc. will work.
http://bestsnow.net
Ski Records
Season length: 21 months, Nov. 29, 2010 - July 2, 2012
Days in one year: 80 from Nov. 29, 2010 - Nov. 17, 2011
Season vertical: 1,610K in 2016-17
Season powder: 291K in 2011-12
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Re: Utah Politics 2016: the McMullin Scenario

Postby Admin » Sun Oct 30, 2016 3:43 pm

Tony Crocker wrote:I edited the same last post successfully. The original post still will not edit, even after clearing cache and cookies, and trying a second browser. You are welcome to try editing the original post.

Not a big deal, as long as future posts, picture uploads, etc. will work.


Fixed. Not sure why my anti-hacker mechanism flagged one post and not another, but I've whitelisted the action and you can see that I've successfully edited the first post.
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