Here's a :stir: for admin: http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/her ... e-in-utah/
Evan McMullin is now given a 20% chance to win Utah because most Mormons can't stomach Trump. There's also a 1 in 3,000 chance McMullin becomes president due to a deadlocked Electoral College throwing the election into the House of Representatives. The latter situation is remote because Mormon distaste for Trump is hurting him in neighboring states, and if Trump loses Arizona, that means the overall election is an Electoral College blowout.
At any rate, I'd be interested how this is playing in the local Utah media, and what admin and others right-of-center in Utah think. IIRC admin lost a bet to jamesdeluxe on the 2012 election, but I'm guessing he wouldn't quarrel too much with the Donald's projected 15% chance of winning in 2016.
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Evan McMullin is now given a 20% chance to win Utah because most Mormons can't stomach Trump. There's also a 1 in 3,000 chance McMullin becomes president due to a deadlocked Electoral College throwing the election into the House of Representatives. The latter situation is remote because Mormon distaste for Trump is hurting him in neighboring states, and if Trump loses Arizona, that means the overall election is an Electoral College blowout.
At any rate, I'd be interested how this is playing in the local Utah media, and what admin and others right-of-center in Utah think. IIRC admin lost a bet to jamesdeluxe on the 2012 election, but I'm guessing he wouldn't quarrel too much with the Donald's projected 15% chance of winning in 2016.
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