but only Ned willing to go for max price at 100% debt financing.
This is the problem.
I am sure Winter 2025-26 destroyed the business case for Eldora's purchase by Nederland CO for the bonds and 100% financing. Eldora's normal 400k visits, Ikon pass reimbursements, and EBITDA declined to levels no one considered. A bad winter can mean a 5-10% decline.
No one would ever model Colorado's skier days retreating to 1990s levels, down 24%. Vail can survive this due to its Epic Pass product. An Eldora 100% debt-financed acquisition cannot.
Colorado Skier Days 2025-26: Collapse 24%, Lowest Since 1991-92
It was the lowest showing for Colorado ski areas since 1991-92
coloradosun.com
Debt Service and Coverage Ratios
That matters because EBITDA has to support debt service. If Nederland ultimately borrowed $200 million over 40 years, approximate level annual principal-and-interest payments would be about $13.3M at 6%, $15.0M at 7%, $16.8M at 8%, and $18.7M at 9%. At the full $225 million authorization, those figures rise to roughly $15.0M, $16.9M, $18.9M and $21.1M, respectively. The ordinance allows maturities as long as 40 years and sets 9% as the maximum net effective interest rate. The actual amortization could be structured differently, so these are illustrations rather than Nederland's projected debt-service schedule.
Here's why DSCR—debt-service coverage ratio—is the number to watch. If a resort has $20M available for debt service and owes $15M annually, its coverage is 1.33×. A 1.50× ratio would require $22.5M of cash available to cover that same $15M payment; 2.0× requires $30M. And EBITDA itself can overstate the real cushion because Eldora still has to fund recurring lift, snowmaking, grooming, building and other maintenance capital. Nederland's ordinance explicitly anticipates capital-maintenance and capital-expenditure funds, as well as debt-service and operating reserves.
| Illustrative scenario | $200M debt | $225M debt |
|---|
| Annual debt service @ 6% | $13.3M | $15.0M |
| @ 7% | $15.0M | $16.9M |
| @ 8% | $16.8M | $18.9M |
| @ 9% maximum | $18.7M | $21.1M |
| Cash needed @ 1.50× coverage, 8% | $25.2M | $28.4M |
| Cash needed @ 1.50× coverage, 9% | $28.1M | $31.6M |
So if Eldora's normalized EBITDA really were only $15–20M, financing anything close to $200–225M of fully amortizing debt at high-single-digit yields would look extremely tight under a simple level-debt model. At $20M EBITDA and $200M borrowed at 8%, EBITDA/debt service would be only about 1.19× before maintenance capex. At $225M and 8%, it would be only about 1.06×. That doesn't prove the transaction cannot work—the actual issue could be smaller, amortization could be back-loaded, capitalized interest/reserves can change early-year coverage, and the confidential financials could show materially higher cash flow—but it demonstrates why the undisclosed EBITDA and final bond structure matter so much.
So if 2025–26 Eldora EBITDA dropped materially, the debt-service coverage ratio could have deteriorated very quickly.
For example, if annual debt service were $11M:
| Eldora cash flow available for debt | DSCR |
|---|
| $18M | 1.64× |
| $15M | 1.36× |
| $13M | 1.18× |
| $11M | 1.00× |
| $9M | 0.82× |
Nederland has authorization to issue up to $225 million. That is not the same thing as having $225 million of financing committed.
The ordinance says BofA Securities and RBC Capital Markets will purchase/sell the bonds on a “best-efforts basis.” It also permits them instead to act as placement agents for privately placed portions of the issue. The bonds are restricted to institutional accredited investors and qualified institutional buyers.
In other words:
BofA/RBC are trying to find sophisticated investors willing to buy the debt. They are not, based on the public ordinance, guaranteeing that their own balance sheets will fund the entire $225M if investors won't buy it.
Nederland itself acknowledges that the acquisition and related financing may not close.
Market Interest Rate
Nederland has authorized the bonds at a maximum 9% net effective interest rate. But the actual rate isn't something Nederland simply chooses. BofA and RBC have to discover the yield at which institutional investors will accept Eldora's business risk.
If investors are comfortable at 6–7%, debt service is considerably easier. If investors demand 8–9%, that both raises annual debt service and suggests investors perceive substantially greater credit risk. If sufficient investors demand more than 9%, Nederland hits the ordinance's present ceiling. It would then need some combination of a smaller bond issue, different structure/security, additional capital, changed economics or further Board authorization rather than simply selling the currently authorized bonds above 9%.