powderfreak
New member
As is being discussed in the Jay Peak thread River started...it is all about TIMING. Those of you who had just an average weekend, someday this week is shaping up to be great. Heck, tomorrow-Wed should be pretty d@mn good. Say it dumps another 2 feet by Wednesday and the "best conditions of the year" become even better; you see pictures and videos of knee to thigh deep snow from Mansfield to Jay Peak. The temperature on Thursday and Friday hits 30-35F, cold enough to keep the snow in the woods from becoming crusty or anything like that, but warm enough to settle the snow significantly and the March sun does the rest. So again, by Saturday, you're left with 8" of old powder on top of the same icy stuff this weekend featured. Conditions are good, but certainly not the 5 feet in the last week that you envisioned.
That's what I think will happen next weekend...as the marketing departments at northern VT resorts will be going nuts trying to get another couple good weekends. Know what I mean?
Jay Peak will be heading towards 5 feet of new snow in 1 week by Wednesday
or Thursday...if not more thanks to 2 feet on Thursday and another foot in
the past 36hrs...with another foot for tomorrow...then another 8-16" on
Tuesday into Wednesday.
Mansfield isn't far behind...
Time to call in sick as this could be the best ski week in northern VT of
the entire season. Should be good. MRG should be open next weekend, and
if they are not, just drive to Stowe, Smuggs, or Jay.
-Scott
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1021 PM EST SUN MAR 19 2006
...SOME LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS
THROUGH MIDDAY MONDAY...
.AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTH
COUNTRY OVERNIGHT AND INCREASE THE COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF SNOW
SHOWERS. ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND NORTHWEST WINDS ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING WINTRY WEATHER TO THE NORTHWESTERN SLOPES
OF THE ADIRONDACKS AND NORTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS.
VTZ006-016-201130-
/O.UPG.KBTV.SN.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-060320T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KBTV.HS.W.0003.060320T0321Z-060320T1800Z/
LAMOILLE-EASTERN FRANKLIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE...ENOSBURG FALLS...
RICHFORD
1021 PM EST SUN MAR 19 2006
...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS ISSUED A HEAVY
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY FOR LOCALIZED
6 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW IN LAMOILLE AND EASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES
IN VERMONT.
OCCASIONAL SNOW AND LOCALIZED HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON MONDAY ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN SLOPES OF THE
NORTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS. GENERAL SNOWFALL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES IS
EXPECTED WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES ALONG THE WESTERN SLOPES
OF JAY PEAK LIKELY.
PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.
Discussion:
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1007 PM EST SUN MAR 19 2006
.SHORT TERM /REST OF TONIGHT/...
PRVS FCST APPEARS IN GOOD SHAPE. PERSISTENT VORTEX...CYCLONIC
UPSLOPE FLOW INDICATIVE OF JAN/FEB NOT ON THE "EVE OF SPRING".
KCXX HAS BEEN OTS SINCE ARD 00Z BUT LOOKING AT ADJACENT KGYX/KENX/KTYX
AND OUR FRIENDS TO THE N...COVERAGE APPEARS TO BE DIMINISHING.
HWVR...BUFKIT FCST SNDGS SHW NO CHGS WITH CPAE VALUES ACRS LAKE CHMPL
>300 J/KG AND NICE UNIFORM FLOW WITH INVERSION HGTS ABV 5K AND
DECENT SNOWGROWTH.
SNOWFALL RPTS SKETCHY BUT HIGHWAY DEPT RPTS >5 INCHES ON WRN
SLOPES OF JAY ALRDY AND PARAMETERS ARE THERE THRU MIDDAY MON.
MEANWHILE... DUST TO INCH ARD UNDERHILL IN ERN CHITTENDEN WITH 2
INCHES ARD DUXBURY IN WASHINGTON CTY.
NAM12 SHWS NO/LTL FOR CHITTENDEN TIL AFT 03Z WITH DECENT SNOWS IN
ERN FRANKLIN/WRN LAMOILLE THRU ERLY MON AFTN THEN ANTHR RESURGENCE
MON EVE.
I'LL UPGRADE ADV TO WRNG FOR ERN FRANKLIN/LAMOILLE ATTM AND LET
MIDSHFT/DAYSHFT DIGEST SNOW REPORTS AND HOPEFULLY KCXX FOR
ANYTHING ELSE.
REST OF FCST REMAINS PRETTY MUCH INTACT WITH PSBLY AT LAST MINUTE
TO LESSEN SNOWFALL IN CHMPL VLY.
&&
That's what I think will happen next weekend...as the marketing departments at northern VT resorts will be going nuts trying to get another couple good weekends. Know what I mean?
Jay Peak will be heading towards 5 feet of new snow in 1 week by Wednesday
or Thursday...if not more thanks to 2 feet on Thursday and another foot in
the past 36hrs...with another foot for tomorrow...then another 8-16" on
Tuesday into Wednesday.
Mansfield isn't far behind...
Time to call in sick as this could be the best ski week in northern VT of
the entire season. Should be good. MRG should be open next weekend, and
if they are not, just drive to Stowe, Smuggs, or Jay.
-Scott
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1021 PM EST SUN MAR 19 2006
...SOME LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS
THROUGH MIDDAY MONDAY...
.AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTH
COUNTRY OVERNIGHT AND INCREASE THE COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF SNOW
SHOWERS. ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND NORTHWEST WINDS ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING WINTRY WEATHER TO THE NORTHWESTERN SLOPES
OF THE ADIRONDACKS AND NORTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS.
VTZ006-016-201130-
/O.UPG.KBTV.SN.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-060320T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KBTV.HS.W.0003.060320T0321Z-060320T1800Z/
LAMOILLE-EASTERN FRANKLIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE...ENOSBURG FALLS...
RICHFORD
1021 PM EST SUN MAR 19 2006
...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS ISSUED A HEAVY
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY FOR LOCALIZED
6 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW IN LAMOILLE AND EASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES
IN VERMONT.
OCCASIONAL SNOW AND LOCALIZED HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON MONDAY ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN SLOPES OF THE
NORTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS. GENERAL SNOWFALL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES IS
EXPECTED WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES ALONG THE WESTERN SLOPES
OF JAY PEAK LIKELY.
PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.
Discussion:
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1007 PM EST SUN MAR 19 2006
.SHORT TERM /REST OF TONIGHT/...
PRVS FCST APPEARS IN GOOD SHAPE. PERSISTENT VORTEX...CYCLONIC
UPSLOPE FLOW INDICATIVE OF JAN/FEB NOT ON THE "EVE OF SPRING".
KCXX HAS BEEN OTS SINCE ARD 00Z BUT LOOKING AT ADJACENT KGYX/KENX/KTYX
AND OUR FRIENDS TO THE N...COVERAGE APPEARS TO BE DIMINISHING.
HWVR...BUFKIT FCST SNDGS SHW NO CHGS WITH CPAE VALUES ACRS LAKE CHMPL
>300 J/KG AND NICE UNIFORM FLOW WITH INVERSION HGTS ABV 5K AND
DECENT SNOWGROWTH.
SNOWFALL RPTS SKETCHY BUT HIGHWAY DEPT RPTS >5 INCHES ON WRN
SLOPES OF JAY ALRDY AND PARAMETERS ARE THERE THRU MIDDAY MON.
MEANWHILE... DUST TO INCH ARD UNDERHILL IN ERN CHITTENDEN WITH 2
INCHES ARD DUXBURY IN WASHINGTON CTY.
NAM12 SHWS NO/LTL FOR CHITTENDEN TIL AFT 03Z WITH DECENT SNOWS IN
ERN FRANKLIN/WRN LAMOILLE THRU ERLY MON AFTN THEN ANTHR RESURGENCE
MON EVE.
I'LL UPGRADE ADV TO WRNG FOR ERN FRANKLIN/LAMOILLE ATTM AND LET
MIDSHFT/DAYSHFT DIGEST SNOW REPORTS AND HOPEFULLY KCXX FOR
ANYTHING ELSE.
REST OF FCST REMAINS PRETTY MUCH INTACT WITH PSBLY AT LAST MINUTE
TO LESSEN SNOWFALL IN CHMPL VLY.
&&