Sure, for what it's worth Opensnow is $35 for the year, it's totally worth it.
Jackson Hole:
Extended Forecast
Outlook for Monday (Dec 16) to Tuesday (Dec 17):
After a lull in the action during the day on Monday, a weaker storm is likely to move through on Monday night and Tuesday with another shot of light to moderate snow possible.
There are some model disagreements on the strength and likelihood of snow during this storm. The American GFS and Canadian Models are coming in stronger, while the ensemble and deterministic versions of the European Model are coming in much weaker with no guarantees of any meaningful snow.
However, the AI version of the European Model is coming in stronger and more in line with the GFS and Canadian.
So I think there's a good chance we'll pick up at least some snow with a refresh possible for Tuesday skiing, but overall confidence is low.
Outlook for December 18-25:
In the week leading up to Christmas, a ridge of high pressure will build over the Western U.S. and the main storm track will shift northward. A trough will remain off the West Coast, and in between these features, the jet stream will direct moisture-laden storms into Washington and BC.
We will be on the drier side of this pattern, but it's a "dirty ridge" setup, meaning we could see frequent cloud cover, mild temperatures, and perhaps some occasional snowfall sneaking into the area.
Temperatures are projected to be well above normal in our region and throughout all of Western North America. This does not account for possible temperature inversions, however, which could lead to colder temperatures in the Jackson Hole Valley.
The projected precipitation anomaly for the 7-day period from December 19th-25th from the European Model shows a dry signal over most of the Western U.S. including the Tetons and a wet signal over Western Washington and British Columbia.
The European Ensemble Meteogram below shows bars of projected 24-hour snow amounts from 50 different model simulations stacked vertically out to 2 weeks.
The more solid-colored vertical columns indicate a higher chance of snowfall for a given 24-hour period, with gray lines indicating light snow (less than 2 inches) and blue/purple lines indicating heavier snow. These are low-resolution projections, but give an idea of the big picture.
We can see high confidence of a storm this weekend, lower confidence in a storm early next week and then drier conditions to follow. About half of the 50 model simulations have some snow during the December 22-25 timeframe, which indicates low confidence.
Aspen
Next Week & Beyond
Following the light refresh on Sunday, December 15, we should receive mostly dry and cool conditions on Monday. We'll then be tracking yet another light refresh around Tuesday, December 17, and into Wednesday, December 18. Again, nothing overly impressive.
Looking further ahead, I still think that we'll enter another mostly dry pattern as head toward the winter solstice and into the week of Christmas. This can of course change but the longer-range models are pretty consistent in building in another "high and dry" pattern like we saw in early December.
Our snowpack will likely be hovering right around normal as we enter the final 10 days of December and more skiable terrain will open over the next week so all will still be well as we close out 2024.
The vast majority of one week ski trips while I was working were during my son Adam's spring breaks.