Rain on Thursday

powderfreak

New member
I've got some bad news. There's no way around it. Get out and ski on
Tuesday and Wednesday if you can. Cause the dreaded R word will be here
on Thursday and there's pretty much no way to avoid it.

A storm system will move through the Ohio Valley up through western NY or
the eastern Great Lakes region. This will put New England in the warm
sector with temperatures rising through the 40's to possibly 50 in some
spots. This will definitely set us back a couple of weeks. Rain will be
heavy on Thursday with some upslope areas seeing over 2" of rain. This
storm will have plenty of moisture and the Gulf of Mexico is wide open.
Some areas in the Ohio Valley could see record snows of up to two feet.

Now the rain wouldn't be too bad if temperatures stayed in the low to mid
30's. But this system will be intense and the strong southerly flow might
even create some wind problems on Thursday in mountainous areas. That
strong southerly flow will blast temperatures way up into the 40's,
especially in the Adirondacks and western VT. The northeast kingdom of
Vermont and some valley locations of the White Mountains might get away
with temperatures holding in the mid 30's.

After that, we get the quick and rapid freeze with possibly some wrap
around upslope precipitation. The general 1-4" of wrap around light
density snows will follow on Thursday night and Friday with the quick cold
air intrusion. Then models develop another storm system that will stay
too far east for much impact during Christmas Day. It might bring a white
Christmas for many places down south including VA,NC,SC,GA, ect.

Now, not to add insult to injury, New Orleans, LA could also see their
first white Christmas ever. A storm will form in the Gulf of Mexico and
when the cold moving south after the storm on Thursday reaches the Gulf
coast...snow could fall, and significant snow at that. I'd bet against it
right now, but even the NWS down there noticed the column would be cold
enough for all snow with up to a half inch of liquid precip.

So, no white Christmas in the northeast, except mountainous areas, but the
potential for a white Christmas all the way from the Great Lakes to the
Gulf Coast and over to the southern Mid-Atlantic.

-Scott
 
Wow, I'm impressed? How the hell did you find out all that extensive info about this storm system you speak of? Was it just from reading online weather reports? Because I never see any reports that are that extensive.

You must be a weatherman/meteorologist (the real ones, not the tv news anchors). :)
 
pnoom":ghll5vdw said:
Wow, I'm impressed? How the hell did you find out all that extensive info about this storm system you speak of? Was it just from reading online weather reports? Because I never see any reports that are that extensive.

You must be a weatherman/meteorologist (the real ones, not the tv news anchors). :)

Powderfreak is the Liftlines nick of our own staff forecaster, Scott Braaten, who publishes his ski weather ruminations weekly here.
 
I just took a look at the extended forecast (accuweather.com) and it was not very encouraging. While accuweather has been far from accurate, it often does give an idea of the general trend in the upcoming weeks. Roemer's report on Jay Peak's website supports this as well. The only positive thing he said about snowfall was that the big snows may come late in the season. ](*,)
 
I guess I take living a few hours from the High Sierras for granted!

;)

Sorry to gloat, but I love the weather in California: a ton of snow when you need it and a ton of sunshine when you need it.

I still wanna check out some of these cool looking places in the Northeast (mostly in Vermont), though.
 
What a horrible rain storm...

I can believe it, even the Valinouet (Saguenay Lac St-Jean) was under hard rain yesterday.

I'm leaving today for a christmas ski trip in Charlevoix/Saguenay... we were supposed to hit Mt Édouard, Valinouet and Grand-Fonds, but looks like we're just going to ski at Grand Fonds once or so and do something else, because the weather will be quite cold and all the funny trails will be icy or unpracticable.

It's just like if Mother Nature was doing us a joke. The above-freezing-point temperature lasted about 3-4 hours at La Malbaie, but it was way enough to kill all the conditions for weeks.

After so incredible powder days in the last 3 weeks, it will be tough to ski on the ice and corduroy now...

(may be I should go to Illinois me too)
 
some of the models have massive amounts of snow dropping in maine on the 27th, however, i think it is to early to jump the gun, but it could be lots and lots of snow.... wait and see, should know more tonight
 
From_the_NEK":2zeu2xan said:
Lets go Ski Illinois! :evil:

That's startin' to look pretty good right now.

Has anyone been out to experience the damaged goods? Who will be brave enough to try Killington next week when the holiday whordes show up on the brutally groomed porcelain? ......so ya' think you're brave? .....can ya' take it? .....well can ya', punk?
 
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