Western North America Conditions 2025/26

Injuries and deaths to Patrol almost every year recently.
Recency bias due to death last February. AFAIK the only other patrol deaths this century were the three from the collapsing fumarole in April 2006. Linked article also mentions an incident in 2018 but not with major injuries. Lincoln Mt. chair 22 is surely the most dangerous area to control because of narrow fall lines and thus many more obstacles in the slide paths than in the big glacial cirques up top.

I found another interesting post about a Mammoth patrol death from explosives in 1973. Procedures and clothing restrictions to avoid static electricity were then put in place. That write-up quoted Bud Rosenberg, who was one of the patrollers killed in the 2006 fumarole.
 
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Friend who lives in Truckee and has not been to Northstar yet AFAIK as he's spending Christmas with his son in Scottsdale, AZ shared this with me.
Palisades plans to open more today and Monday, but Headwall, KT and Siberia are not yet on this schedule. (But Ops Blog link could be wrong as https://www.palisadestahoe.com/mountain-information/mountain-report#lift-and-trail-status includes Siberia.) Ops Blog also say "Ikon Base Passes are not valid December 27–31." I had full Ikon last year thinking I'd try to get some days between Christmas and New Years but didn't. I did use it at Alta, Aspen and Deer Valley which are not on the base and for a President's Day holiday at Sierra-at-Tahoe but downgraded this year to Base pass.
 
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Friend who lives in Truckee and has not been to Northstar yet AFAIK as he's spending Christmas with his son in Scottsdale, AZ shared this with me.
Palisades plans to open more today and Monday, but Headwall, KT and Siberia are not yet on this schedule. (But Ops Blog link could be wrong as https://www.palisadestahoe.com/mountain-information/mountain-report#lift-and-trail-status includes Siberia.) Ops Blog also say "Ikon Base Passes are not valid December 27–31." I had full Ikon last year thinking I'd try to get some days between Christmas and New Years but didn't. I did use it at Alta, Aspen and Deer Valley which are not on the base and for a President's Day holiday at Sierra-at-Tahoe but downgraded this year to Base pass.
At least it would be a well organised and civilised USA style line.
 
Some photos of Mammoth crowds have been posted elsewhere, but I think it is more important to share that patroller who was seriously injured in avalanche early on Christmas has passed away. Following is message from his family and a photo of Cole Murphy from Mammoth's FB post.
PatrollerFamilyNote.jpg
PatrollerPhoto.jpg
 
It must be cold in Whitefish with those sundog pictures; snow looks good though: 15 inches in the past week and 90% open. Fernie is up to 75% open, but Schweitzer and Red are under 25% open.
 
Jim Steenburgh : Is This The Worst Christmas Skiing Ever in Utah?
Answer, same as mine, only 1976-77 was worse. With the recent storm concluded, it's now officially the lowest Nov-Dec with 57 inches at Alta Collins, where records began in 1980-81, the next lowest start at 68 inches. The only lower numbers since 1946 from AltaGuard at the base are the 30.5 in 1976-77 and 48 in 1962-63.

Follow-up Steenburgh's clipped article from Christmas 1976 about Sun Valley's newfangled "Snow Augmentation System," allowing 3 runs there totaling 2,200 vertical to be open when all of Utah's resorts were closed.
 
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28 dec 2025, I went to Southern CA for part of Christmas week and when I returned the snow was better at Snowbird, but not in a huge way, Snowbird got about a foot of new snow on Dec 26-28. They opened Little Cloud lift on the 28th. Regulator Johnson and nearby parts of Little Cloud Bowl remain the only advanced level terrain open at the resort. But now you can lap it without going all the way to tram base, More secondary trails in the lower Gad Valley side of the mountain are opening so trail traffic can disperse a bit better than before. Hopefully, Peruvian Gulch/Chips Run opens in the next few days to week? We need another couple of good dumps to get Mineral and most of the steeper mountain terrain open.

Clear visibility on Dec 28, 2025. Snowguns on all day. Finally winter temps, high of about 20 degs but felt warmer in the bright sun. Not too crowded on the 28th considering everyone must ski the Gad VAlley side of the mtn.
28 dec regulator.jpg
28 dec 2025 snowguns all day.jpg


PS: some pics from SoCal and SoUt
La Jolla:
la jolla ca 25 dec 2025.jpg


San Diego
tacos el gordo san diego 25 dec 2025.jpg


Cliffside Restaurant, St. George, UT, great views from our table, close to I-15.
cliffside restaurant 27 dec 2025 st. george.jpg
 
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Some photos of Mammoth crowds have been posted elsewhere, but I think it is more important to share that patroller who was seriously injured in avalanche early on Christmas has passed away. Following is message from his family and a photo of Cole Murphy from Mammoth's FB post.

So sad.

There was a death on Thursday off Chair 8 when someone (experienced) crashed just off the run in deep snow (head first).

Mammoth is so scary after these big snow events. I had an incident many years ago where I fell in fresh, chest deep thickish snow. Even though I was only about 20 ft off a groomed run (but out of sight behind some trees). I was in a panic because it couldn't get out for about a half an hour.

After that incident, I decided I wouldn't ride (immediately) after a storm there if there was over about 3 ft of new snow, and probably less if it was sierra cement.
 
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tacos-el-gordo-san-diego-25-dec-2025-jpg.48437

Tacos El Gordo is one of Adam's favorites. There are 3 of them in San Diego and 3 in Las Vegas. When driving from SoCal to Utah, the one on Losee Ave. just NW of the Cheyenne exit in North Las Vegas makes for a quick and tasty lunch stop. I'd call it the In-N-Out of Mexican food.
 
It must be cold in Whitefish with those sundog pictures; snow looks good though: 15 inches in the past week and 90% open. Fernie is up to 75% open, but Schweitzer and Red are under 25% open.
It was 9 degrees when I woke up yesterday in Hamilton, MT, coldest day of the season there so far. Likely colder in Whitefish which is more susceptible to intrusions from the east.

Lost Trail was 100% open and skiing great this weekend with 4-6 inches of fresh in spots. South facing bumps and the lowest groomers had evidence of last weeks warm temps and high snow levels, but that could be avoided by seeking out sheltered aspects with low traffic. At their elevation range of 6500-8200 feet, the overall snowpack is above average. It should come as no surprise that at the moment there is a huge difference between 5500 and 6500 feet.
 
As some of you may know I found a website in the early 2000's that recorded base depths and percent of terrain open for the Front Range Colorado areas at Thanksgiving, mid-December and Christmas Week going back to 1988. The website no longer exists but I downloaded it and update each year. I waited until this morning to update in case the weekend storm opened more runs. We know the ski areas sometimes hold off marginal terrain mid-December and save it for this week. But this year there's very little increase since mid-December. With two exceptions, every area is currently reporting the least terrain open of that 38 year database, and in some cases the difference is not close.

Area, 12/16 open, 12/29 open, prior worst Christmas Week open
A-Basin 5%, 6%, 14% in 2011
Breckenridge 17%, 19%, 35% in 1998
Copper 11%, 14%, 28% in 2012
Keystone 22%, 23%, 15% in 2021
Loveland 13%, 14%, 16% in 1999 and 2012
Steamboat 11%, 32%, 48% in 2020
Vail 17%, 27%, 20% in 2017
Winter Park 13%, 19%, 24% in 1998

This year is second worst for Keystone and Vail. I would assume 1976-77 and 1980-81 were worse for all of them due to minimal snowmaking.

For several of these areas Nov-Dec snowfall in 2011-12, 2012-13 or 2017-18 was as bad or worse than this year, but the abnormal temperatures have limited snowmaking more. This problem is even worse in Utah as the Steenburgh Christmas post mentioned.

The website also included Wolf Creek, which will open terrain in extreme low tide, but also contains base depth info. Wolf Creek's current base depth is 32 inches. 2005 and 2023 were similar while 1999 (10 inches) and 2017 (19 inches) were much worse.

For other regions I record at the end of December and have 20-25 years of info.
 
Heavenly doing better than I expected opening advanced/expert runs. They already had opened Ellie's and Pinnacles off Sky chair although both are somewhat W-facing and may have some thin places.

Photo of Milky Way Bowl, one of my favorites there although best hit on higher traverse coming from CA to NV or from hiking even higher.
MilkyWayBowl.jpg
Heavenly Mountain Facebook post today (with my bolding): "New week, more terrain. Our teams have been working their tails off and started the week off strong by adding North Bowl and Olympic to the mix in Nevada today. In the afternoon, we dropped the rope on the Face and opened Roundabout, officially beginning ski and ride access back to California Base for the season. Oh yeah, probably worth mentioning we are opening Mott Canyon tomorrow as w."
 
Mott Canyon opening is the best sign of decent coverage at Heavenly. I think there may still be issues at Tahoe lower elevations. Gunbarrel and East Bowl were not mentioned. Still I’d guess 2/3 of Heavenly is in good shape now.
 
I just booked our lodging at Mammoth, 1/2-1/6 refundable till Thursday night so if the storm doesn't pan out, we'll have flexibility. Praying the snow happens. Just looking at some Tahoe webcams, wow, bare ground at mid mountain and pouring rain.
Looking good for our trip.

1767120147112.png
 
If that forecast holds, I would not expect the top of Mammoth to be much Jan. 3-6.

On another note, I have always wondered how these pictures get taken of a snow capped Baldy backdrop to downtown L.A.
IMG_7015a.jpeg

I can get that kind of view briefly from the Santa Monica Freeway but not a great place for a photo op. Now I know. Liz and I did a 5 mile hike in the Baldwin Hills Sunday morning (first time I've ever been there on foot), and there's the view!

The rain/snow line Dec. 24-26 never got much below 8,000 feet, so that's what you see in the picture. SoCal is among the group of ski areas experiencing its worst holiday season in over 40 years. Open are 9% of Snow Summit and 20% of Bear Mt. Mountain High will be closed for "at least two weeks" while mud is cleared and roads repaired in Wrightwood. The Baldy hairpins were down for a couple of days but Baldy is open today for scenic rides and "limited snow play." As far as snowmaking repair of rain damage is concerned, freezing level will not descend into the ski areas until Saturday night.
 
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Heavenly Mountain Facebook post today (with my bolding): "New week, more terrain. Our teams have been working their tails off and started the week off strong by adding North Bowl and Olympic to the mix in Nevada today. In the afternoon, we dropped the rope on the Face and opened Roundabout, officially beginning ski and ride access back to California Base for the season. Oh yeah, probably worth mentioning we are opening Mott Canyon tomorrow as w."

I am still always impressed by how the Sierra can go from 0 to 80/100% with one big storm cycle.

Gunbarrel and East Bowl were not mentioned. Still I’d guess 2/3 of Heavenly is in good shape now.

On the trail report, Heavenly does have Gunbarrel marked as open. I see they are referring to it as 'The Face'.


Some recent articles regarding low snowfall seasons in the West:




A History of Bad Ski Seasons Part 1 – Weather​

The most recent bad season in terms of weather in the West was in 2017-’18, which was reported to be one of the driest seasons on record for U.S. ski resorts. Snowfall at ski resorts near Lake Tahoe was down 45 percent compared to the season before, Crested Butte was down 57 percent.

Video: Governor Shows California’s Low Snowpack​

Can’t see the video? Click here.

At Taos Ski Valley, the resort called on local Native Americans to perform a snow dance, but with no luck. Taos ended the season with only 78 inches of snowfall, a full 60 percent decline from the previous year. And the 2017-’18 season wasn’t an anomaly. Resorts have been recording record warm winters regularly over the past decade.

The 2015-’16 season was dubbed the ‘non-winter’ on the East Coast. The season before that was considered the worst ski season in Utah’s history, some resorts in Canada didn’t even open, and skiers at Whistler Blackcomb had to ride trams to mid-mountain just to reach snow.

There is no doubt that the past decade has seen more sad seasons than epic ones, but at the very least, resorts managed to operate because of snowmaking technologies.

Ask any old-timer in the West about the worst season ever, and they’ll likely tell you about the winter of 1976-’77.

At the time, snowmaking was mostly nonexistent, so in 1976, when the ski season arrived, the snow didn’t and ski areas started to feel the heat. As slopes remained starved for snow, Governor Brown of California declared an official drought. At Whistler, rental shop employees stood guard in front of rocky patches on the slope, demanding their customers take their skis off and walk down through the rocks.


Colorado was just as bad. Aspen only saw 15 inches of snowfall between Nov. 1st and Dec. 26. In Steamboat, locals shoveled snow from the trees onto the barren slopes. By December, Colorado Senator Haskell urged President Ford to declare Colorado’s high country a disaster area eligible for economic relief, but his plea had the reverse effect when tourists heard the news and began canceling their winter vacations. Crested Butte reported 100 percent lodging cancellations before Christmas, and Telluride and Purgatory didn’t open for the holidays.

The industry had barely begun to recover when it happened again in 1980-’81. As yet another drought left slopes completely parched, resorts started looking for ways to compensate for low snowfall.

Michael Berry, the president of the National Ski Areas Association at the time, remembers that season as an “epiphany year for the industry in the Rocky Mountain West. There might have been some people saying they didn’t need snowmaking going into that season, but no one—no one—was saying that coming out.”

Result: The Artificial Snow Revolution​

Mountain High's current snowmaking system.
Low snow years led to the rise of artificial snow. What will skiing after the pandemic look like?Photo courtesy of Mountain High Resort
After the 1976-’78 and 1980-’81 seasons, the industry evolved. Snowmaking became widespread, and resorts were able to ensure snow, even in drought years.

Old snowmaking technology was expensive, energy-intensive, and created boilerplate textured snow. New, high-tech snowmaking systems are more efficient, increasing the rate of conversion from water to snow without requiring an increase in water, and can even operate at warmer temperatures than they used to. Some systems are now automated, activating snowmaking during favorable conditions.

These new systems not only create better-quality snow than they used to, but they also allow resorts to open earlier and close later, effectively extending the ski season, and saving the season during warmer years.

During the ‘non-winter’ of 2015-’16 in the East, Loon Mountain reportedly received only 66 inches of snowfall, but after having invested $3 million to double their snowmaking capacity and upgrade efficiency by 75 percent, Loon credited the new snowmaking system for rescuing the season. And it isn’t just Loon that is putting money into these new technologies; resorts from the East to the West are innovating to give skiers reliable snow.

However, the industry still faces the challenges of a warming climate. A study by the Climate Impact Lab in 2018 found that if the current warming trend continues, resorts should expect to lose a month of the ski season within the next two decades. This will likely prompt new innovations in snowmaking.
 
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