johnnash":17dgck3s said:
I got all excited when my wife sent me the announcement from Vail. This last season, it was really great for us to be able to ski Tahoe early season on our Epic Local Pass when Colorado got off to such a lousy start, and adding The Canyons would diversify the weather risk even more.
I wouldn't get that excited. Canyons is the least reliable snow area of the Wasatch and that chances it will be good at a time both Tahoe (Utah is 68% correlated) and Front Range Colorado (56% correlated) are bad are remote. If you want to diversify, do what tseeb did and get a Mountain Collective in addition to his Epic local pass for Tahoe. Whistler is an outstanding diversifier.
In terms of snow reliability:
AltaBird and Whistler are far above any of the Vail Resorts.
Mammoth and Kirkwood are similar, Kirkwood's higher snowfall balanced by Mammoth's superb preservation.
Vail/Beaver Creek and Jackson are similar in snowfall, though Jackson has serious snow preservation issues after mid-season.
Squaw/Alpine are similar to the above 5 areas in snowfall but much worse in preservation than 4 of them.
Aspen/Snowmass and the remaining Vail resorts get much less snow though Aspen/Snowmass, Summit County CO and the upper tier at Heavenly have good preservation.
Mountain Collective is currently sold out. They hint at a reopening; presumably that will be with a price increase.
From my perspective the Mountain Collective has qualitatively better ski areas anyway. For someone in johnnash's situation I think it's an attractive pre-season purchase, then wait and see where the snow is. It would take a 1977-level drought to skunk all of those places in the same season. The caveat is that johnnash's wife and son are on the lower side of intermediate and the Mountain Collective resorts are mostly expert weighted. Mammoth and Aspen/Snowmass are the ones with the best terrain fit for them.
After browsing around about the details of the PCMR/Talisker lawsuit I'm inclined to agree with admin. It is an avenue for VR to control both resorts. But it's high risk; if they fail VR is stuck with just Canyons for 50 years.