Weather Forecasts

Hate to be that guy but after looking at the computer model trends over the last day, things aren't looking so go for a decent snow event early next week. Hopefully things will come around again but things last night where looking about a 1000 times better.
 
Being in the east.. It is a shame i have to root against you guys...
nothing makes me happier than seeing a booming ridge over the west coast :wink: .. It is a shame we all can't get over at the same time...
No i am not a fan of the dreaded Zonal Flow...
 
jasoncapecod":16309q7q said:
No i am not a fan of the dreaded Zonal Flow...
Click to expand...

Which is precisely what we have out here right now. At least if we were further north we'd be beneath that Zonal Flow and receiving frequent small accumulations, but down here that southwestern high continues to dominate.
 
Being in the east.. It is a shame i have to root against you guys...
nothing makes me happier than seeing a booming ridge over the west coast Wink .. It is a shame we all can't get over at the same time...
Click to expand...

While some of us remember 1976-77, when the West was blocked out by high pressure for 3 months in its worst ever season and the East got pounded for one of its best, over the long run there is no relationship between Northeast and western snowfall. Correlations range from +18% for Northern and Central Colorado to -12% for California, with the other western regions being in the +10 to -10% range.

There are seasons where both East and West did well (1977-78, 1992-93 and 1996-97) and some where both were quite bad (1980-81 and 1991-92).
 
Tony what you said is true, but most of the time when you are locked it to a storm cycle (deep western trough) . We tend to have a SW flow and ridge..The B to B flow ( Baja to Bangor ) Good for you baaad for me.
Lets just hope we all have average winters and will i be a happy camper..
 
This is an excellent example of how everyone tries to see patterns. My earlier comments were based on season averages blended by region.

To address the point more directly I correlated the monthly data for selected areas in each western region where it was most complete. All areas listed below have a minimum of 209 months of snowfall info.

Correlations to Killington:
+8% Sunshine
+5% Mt. Rainier
+7% Donner Pass
+1% Alta
+17% Jackson
-1% Taos
+4% Berthoud Pass

Correlations to Mt. Washington:
+12% Sunshine
+5% Mt. Rainier
-3% Donner Pass
0% Alta
+5% Jackson
-5% Taos
-1% Berthoud Pass

This as random as random can get, and it's based on a lot of data. I will be pleased to take wagers on the subject from anyone who thinks otherwise :wink: .
 
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