powderfreak
New member
Executive Summary:
Occasional light snow will continue to fall through the weekend in the northern Green Mountains with accumulations of 3-6" by Monday morning north of I-89 and 1-3" south of I-89. Monday and Tuesday should be cool but sunny out as temperatures will keep the snow from taking on a spring-like feel except only for south facing slopes. More snow moves into the upslope areas of the northern Greens possibly as early as Tuesday evening and could last for a couple days...another decent upslope event could be in the making for the middle of next week. Temperatures remain below normal with no large spatial snowfalls in sight; heavy snowfall will likely be localized to northwest slopes in VT and possibly the northern Adirondacks.
Discussion:
Radar today showed some light snow showers continued to fall across the northern Green Mountains with the Morrisville-Stowe airport seeing visibilities between 1 mile and 4 miles through the morning and into early afternoon. The mountains likely saw up to 2" of accumulation in the higher elevations with only a dusting down low.
There is good news and bad news through next week. The good news is that the skiing will be getting better in the northern Green Mountains, the bad news is that the mountains that haven't been seeing snow, will continue to not see any snowfall. The mountains that have been getting snow, will keep getting it.
For example, here's the 5km ETA model precipitation forecast for tomorrow:
http://tinyurl.com/mpk8d
Note, no snow in a large portion of NH, ME, and the southern half of Vermont. Bulls-eye continues to run in the Green Mountains north of I-89 where really the only appreciable snows could fall. I think the model is overdone for tomorrow as it would indicate 1-3" south of I-89 and 3-6" north of I-89. This is only valid through Saturday evening with more on Sunday. I'll cut accumulations on both days in half from model guidance.
Strong Polar Vortex over the Canadian Martimes region will keep a cold but dry pattern over most of the northeast. However, due to its location, the mean flow will be out of the north of northwest causing occasional periods of upslope snowfall. By later on Tuesday, models indicate the polar vortex will retrograde and sink southward back into northern New England. Since polar vortices do not move very quickly, as this thing backs into the region, another significant upslope event might be in the cards for the middle of next week. That will be monitored closely.
The end result is a pattern that remains the same, so expect similar results over the next 7 to 10 days.
-Scott
Occasional light snow will continue to fall through the weekend in the northern Green Mountains with accumulations of 3-6" by Monday morning north of I-89 and 1-3" south of I-89. Monday and Tuesday should be cool but sunny out as temperatures will keep the snow from taking on a spring-like feel except only for south facing slopes. More snow moves into the upslope areas of the northern Greens possibly as early as Tuesday evening and could last for a couple days...another decent upslope event could be in the making for the middle of next week. Temperatures remain below normal with no large spatial snowfalls in sight; heavy snowfall will likely be localized to northwest slopes in VT and possibly the northern Adirondacks.
Discussion:
Radar today showed some light snow showers continued to fall across the northern Green Mountains with the Morrisville-Stowe airport seeing visibilities between 1 mile and 4 miles through the morning and into early afternoon. The mountains likely saw up to 2" of accumulation in the higher elevations with only a dusting down low.
There is good news and bad news through next week. The good news is that the skiing will be getting better in the northern Green Mountains, the bad news is that the mountains that haven't been seeing snow, will continue to not see any snowfall. The mountains that have been getting snow, will keep getting it.
For example, here's the 5km ETA model precipitation forecast for tomorrow:
http://tinyurl.com/mpk8d
Note, no snow in a large portion of NH, ME, and the southern half of Vermont. Bulls-eye continues to run in the Green Mountains north of I-89 where really the only appreciable snows could fall. I think the model is overdone for tomorrow as it would indicate 1-3" south of I-89 and 3-6" north of I-89. This is only valid through Saturday evening with more on Sunday. I'll cut accumulations on both days in half from model guidance.
Strong Polar Vortex over the Canadian Martimes region will keep a cold but dry pattern over most of the northeast. However, due to its location, the mean flow will be out of the north of northwest causing occasional periods of upslope snowfall. By later on Tuesday, models indicate the polar vortex will retrograde and sink southward back into northern New England. Since polar vortices do not move very quickly, as this thing backs into the region, another significant upslope event might be in the cards for the middle of next week. That will be monitored closely.
The end result is a pattern that remains the same, so expect similar results over the next 7 to 10 days.
-Scott
