Whiteface??

Jason, BRING THE WIFE!!
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unfortunately my wife has arranged another social event that weekend that requires my presence. If said event is canceled i will make every effort to go north.

I also got the do you really NEED to go , because we are going to Vermont the following week. :oops:
 
rfarren[quote:2dh10nkd said:
with whiteface you can normally hedge your bets about 7-10 days ahead of time due to its northerly location.
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I would disagree with that as Whiteface tends to get less snow and alot of times just blows off the place in a days time
 
The 3-4 day window comment was based mainly on my general distrust of any weather forecasts more than a week out. Since the probability of rain at any Northeast ski area is significant on a random climatological basis, one should plan accordingly.

I would agree with rfarren that eastern rain probability does vary with latitude, and with Sharon that choosing a location with interesting non-ski backup activities makes sense. However I would certainly not commit $ with the short term rain/freeze prediction. I would hold off to see if that forecast comes to pass, and if so whether significant snow comes afterwards to repair the damage.
 
Unless your target dates fall during the Xmas/New Years, MLK, or President's Day holidays, there's really no reason to book more than a few days in advance.
 
we are now up to 3 guys and 4 women...so no pressure ;-)

oh, and there will be 5 dogs too...speaking of the dog house.
 
Finally a little action:
WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY...6 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
 
jamesdeluxe":15e4nax1 said:
Finally a little action:
WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY...6 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
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That 6 to 12 inches is following 3 feet of rain. If they are lucky the snow will be consisting of the heavy type as to cover the rock solid ice base that is there.
 
rfarren":kzkys4q3 said:
jamesdeluxe":kzkys4q3 said:
Finally a little action:
WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY...6 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
Click to expand...

That 6 to 12 inches is following 3 feet of rain. If they are lucky the snow will be consisting of the heavy type as to cover the rock solid ice base that is there.
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From what I can tell that is exactly what is happening.

Here at Gore...all snow, no mixed precip north of Glens Falls. A few inches down, snowing moderately.

Snow seems to be getting lighter as we go, so that might workout.
 
They just opened a couple trails from the summit... anyone know if they put snowmaking on the new Lookout terrain?

So who's going to be there next weekend? Sharon, can you drag Acidchrist away from Greek Peak for a couple days?

Get out yer racing boards! 3,116 lift-served feet... 50% taller than Utah molehills like Alta!
:-k
 
jamesdeluxe":2h7ssxx6 said:
They just opened a couple trails from the summit... anyone know if they put snowmaking on the new Lookout terrain?

So who's going to be there next weekend? Sharon, can you drag Acidchrist away from Greek Peak for a couple days?

Get out yer racing boards! 3,116 lift-served feet... 50% taller than Utah molehills like Alta!
:-k
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Acidchrist has anchored himself firmly in family bliss and is unlikely to be able to get away for the weekend. He wanted to go Mon-Thurs, but I had to do it during the weekend, as I'm using my vacay time for 2 weeks in Utah next month.

As for comparing Whiteface to Utah molehills, it's a different animal for sure. All of my skis are too soft for a typical day at Whiteface, but I'll suffer through it :)
 
Whitefacers:

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
904 PM EST SUN DEC 14 2008

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...

THERE IS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD BETWEEN THE ECMWF AND GFS MODELS...ESPECIALLY REGARDING THE P-TYPE FOR THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THE GFS TAKES THE LOW FROM THE PLAINS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES INTO CANADA...BRINGING A SLUG OF WARM AIR OVER THE COLDER AIR OVER THE REGION...RESULTING IN SNOW/SLEET CHANGING INTO FREEZING RAIN TO RAIN.

THE ECMWF...IN CONTRAST...MOVES THE SURFACE LOW ON A MUCH MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK TO THE OHIO VALLEY BY FRIDAY MORNING AND OFF THE COAST BY FRIDAY EVENING...WHICH WOULD BRING ABOUT MORE OF A SNOW SCENARIO...WITH A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL POSSIBLE FROM THE MOHAWK VALLEY...CAPITAL DISTRICT...AND BERKSHIRES NORTH...INCLUDING THE ADIRONDACKS AND SOUTHERN VERMONT...WITH A MIX AND RAIN FARTHER SOUTH.
 
Not sure how to check those models.

Why not post a pretty picture on weather thread? :D
 
Harvey44":2p7i8y8w said:
Not sure how to check those models.
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Models are aligning toward possible paydirt... but four days out is about 3.5 days too early to start getting excited in these parts.
 
That's a sweet little bullseye in the GFS model. GFS was better than NAM in the last storm cycle. All we can do now is keep our fingers crossed.
 
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