Florida Gulf Coast, Summer 2020

Tony Crocker

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I arrived in Florida June 9. Liz had been here with her mother Laura since Feb. 1 except for 4 days in March to get a checkup on her shoulder. Liz' physical therapy in Florida was outstanding and she completed her rehab from the serious January accident in May. She went kayaking a couple of weeks before I arrived and said she would have skied Memorial Day in a normal year.

So no surprise on my first Saturday Liz arranged a daytrip to Crystal River for some more kayaking with her friends Rich and Kelley. We first paddled around the aptly named Buzzard Island.
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Near the seagrass we spotted some manatees.
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Rich brings his fishing gear when kayaking.
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There's another manatee nose at lower right.

A big attraction in this area is the fresh water Three Sisters Spring. Its narrow entry is not conducive to social distancing.
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At least it's outdoors!

We tied up our kayaks to take a swim.
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I'm enjoying the refreshing 75 degree water.
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Gulf water in summer averages 85F and can be 90F at the end of a sunny day.

We exited through a mix of swimmers, kayakers and paddleboarders.
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Paddleboarders in a boat channel:
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There 's a lot more room out in the bay.
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Most of the time we went to the water near Liz' mother's home in Belleaire Bluffs, usually a 5+ minute drive to the Gulf. We generally went near sunset as that's when the weather was most comfortable. Many locals had the same idea.
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It's completely different from California, when sunset usually features a brisk breeze blowing off 65 degree water. And notice all the beach chairs right by water's edge because it's so calm. There were only 3 days all summer when there was barely enough surf to catch waves. We were often in the water at or past sunset.
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The above pics are from Indian Rocks Beach where we could park. Belleaire Beach is all single family 7-digit beachfront homes, of which this was probably the most palatial. I later saw an ESPN feature and found out this is Tom Brady's Tampa Bay region home!
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It was an easy walk or jog up here to nearly empty beach.

One day we were a few miles south at Redington Beach. Bird variety is impressive in Florida and most of them are unafraid of beachgoers.
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It's about 5PM and still blazing hot. Many people who go to the beach in Florida bring big tents, as California style umbrellas are not as adequate for shade.

All of these beaches are on a barrier island. Bellaire Bluffs is on the inland side of the Intracoastal waterway. "Bluffs" in Florida mean over 30 feet above sea level, out of range of a maximum hurricane storm surge. Maybe 1/3 of Pinellas County is that high. Here I'm under the bridge over the Intracoastal Waterway.
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We found this sign amusing at the War Veterans' park.
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There were no public fireworks displays for July 4th, but Laura knew where we should go at Indian Shores for private fireworks. They stayed in the car but I walked to the beach between two setups that lasted at least 20 minutes. This one was north.
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And this one was south.
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Florida is one of those states where you can buy volcanoes and skyrockets. . I had some of those from Nevada which I set off on Laura's street later.
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Here's another sight we would not see on residential streets at home.
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Later in July we borrowed a tandem kayak from Laura's neighbors and took it down the hill to the Intracoastal Waterway, starting under the inland side of the bridge.
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We kayaked south into the inlets with waterfront homes, many with lawn ornaments.
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Nearly all boats were on hoists to keep them out of the water when not in use.
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I do not see this in California marinas. And nearly all boats I saw here and in the even more upscale waterways in Naples later were powerboats. Only in the Florida Keys did we see many sailboats.

This dog ran, furiously barking, to the edge of his lawn.
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He was not barking at us, but at a dolphin fin in the water.

This house was under construction.
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Notice the concrete and rebar for hurricane resistance.

We stopped for a break at an island.
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The other nearby islands are reserved for the birds.
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It took about 10 minutes to wheel the kayak back to Laura's house.
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If you have to be in Florida all summer, it's a saving grace to be this close to the water.

July 25 was Laura's 90th birthday.
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This summer brought us up to speed on observing green flashes at sunset, a pastime of some of our eclipse chasing friends. The warm and calm water of the Gulf in summer raises the odds vs. most places. Capturing one on film is not easy so the lime green edge here on August 4 is the best we got.
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Some people think horizon refraction effects like this are a promising sign for a green flash, but we did not get one after this view from the top of the bridge on August 6.
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The Florida Gulf horizon was cloud free at sunset less than half the time. When it was, the orange sun would usually only fade to yellow at the end. Maybe 5-6 times we saw a bit of lime green as on August 4. On June 30 and August 2 we saw the real deal, a bright kelly green flash. August 2 was also the day that the Crew Dragon astronauts splashed down in the Gulf, the same time as Hurricane Isaias was about 50 miles off the east coast of Florida. When Hurricane Laura was in the Gulf advancing toward Louisiana, it was overcast but the surf at Belleaire got up to barely 2 feet.

I never experienced a big weather system all the time I was in Florida. Rain was always in the form of short but intense localized thunderstorms. It would typically dump an inch of rain in 15-20 minutes and then move on. Many of them missed us to the north or south and sometimes we had impressive lightning shows at those beach sunsets. Laura had a rain gauge in her backyard. It rained 9 inches in June before I arrived but no more until July. July had 8 inches and August about half that. Every day the high was between 90-93F and the low between 77-80F. It rains about 20% more in summer in central and east coast Florida than on the Gulf coast.
 
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Looks like you had a good time Tony. Nice photos too.
I'm not a real fan of heat and humidity so I certainly won't be crossing the Pacific to go to the south east areas of your country in summer.
Plenty of heat and humidity here unfortunately.
 
I suspect Brisbane summers are a lot like Florida's. High's 32-34C, lows 25-27C, average rain 16-18cm per month? But Liz and I spent two days on the Sunshine Coast in November 2012 and it was delightful. Perhaps Brisbane's hot season is more confined to Dec-Feb, while Florida is steamy for more like 5 months. Through 2018 Laura spent those months in the Smoky Mountains of North Carolina and only lived in Florida October-April.
 
I looked up comparative climates of Tampa and Brisbane. Winters are about the same. Summers in Tampa are about 2C hotter than Brisbane, both highs and lows. Tampa gets about 10% more rain, with summer rain concentration being similar.
 
March/April and October are much better times to visit the Gulf Coast. In this case, Sarasota/Siesta Key area just south of where Tony was:

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Tony Crocker":2z1lmiz9 said:
a green flash
I'd never heard this term in English -- maybe because I'm not an eclipse chaser -- but it's more common in French: le rayon vert. Jules Verne named his 1882 novel after it and my favorite filmmaker, Eric Rohmer, concludes his 1986 movie with the phenomenon (at 1:41). As of the comments points out, the visual caught on film doesn't do it justice, but her (actress Marie Rivière's) reaction to it does.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vvSgb5Dg2eg

Wikipedia mentions that when seeing seeing a green flash at sunset, one's own thoughts and those of others are revealed as if by magic.
 
The video on that film is quite good, very similar to June 30 or August 2. I saw another one during a beach yoga class at Indian Rocks Beach in November.

EMSC":4fvwkmeq said:
March/April and October are much better times to visit the Gulf Coast.
Liz will be going to Florida April 4. I may join her later, but April skiing is a higher priority for me.
 
....there’s the question of whether it is a real effect caused by the refraction of the light or an optical illusion due to the persistence on the retina”.
Actually, if you stare directly at the sunset for too long before the end, the pupils of your eyes will contract too much so they won't pick up the green color. I may have missed one at Griffith Observatory after the 2007 Transit of Mercury. There was a puff at sunset but it was gray.

Bill Kramer says green flashes are much more likely to be seen over warm water than cold. He says he gets one an average of once a week off the west coast of Jamaica. This is a good explanation of why I've never seen one on SoCal and all that I've seen have been from the Florida Gulf Coast. Liz' first green flash was in the Libyan desert where she saw the 2006 eclipse on her birthday 15 years ago yesterday.
 
Tony Crocker":34tqf6y5 said:
Actually, if you stare directly at the sunset for too long before the end, the pupils of your eyes will contract too much so they won't pick up the green color.
Do eclipse glasses help or is that apples and oranges?
 
Eclipse glasses blot out everything but the sun's photosphere, and the photosphere is an artificial color based upon the composition of the solar filters. While a natural yellow/orange is most common filter color, I've seen filters viewing the sun in white, red and even green. I suppose someone could view the sunset directly through a solar filter for awhile, then remove them at the end, but I've never heard that recommended. To no surprise, lots of people watch sunsets on eclipse cruises but I have not seen a green flash on a cruise yet.
 
EMSC":348we7ge said:
March/April and October are much better times to visit the Gulf Coast.
I'm here now, from April 28 - May 11. It's hot but there's usually a breeze so nicer on the beach for a longer period of time. I'm guessing the wind shutting down in June is a factor in generating the summer convective thunderstorms.
 
The Pinellas County barrier islands had 5-7 feet of storm surge as Helene passed by 100 miles into the Gulf. Recall the picture from summer 2020 of the mansion where Tom Brady and Charles Woodson filmed the "Tuck Rule" 30-for-30 for ESPN.
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The mansion was built for Ryan Howard of the Phillies and I found this pic of the real estate developer who bought it from Howard in 2019:
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Here's another pic from 2020 showing the large pool covering most of the beach side of the house.
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Here's the view of it after Helene:
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All of the dune vegetation has been stripped and I'd guess that pool is mostly filled with sand. I'd wonder about that first floor bowling alley too.

Milton is due to hit overnight tonight with expected storm surge 10-12 feet and category 3-4 winds. Original forecasts were close to a direct hit, but now it's more likely to be bit south of here. The most direct hit areas expect 12-15 feet of storm surge.

Liz' house is 1.5 miles inland from this mansion, with most of that distance being over the intracoastal waterway. It's not going to be flooded at elevation 32 feet, but it's a very ordinary house and probably has a limit on how much wind it can handle. Liz' mother lost the roof off another Florida home in 2004 but was in her North Carolina home when that happened. Liz' tenant is evacuating but we know one neighbor who is staying.
 
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video of the roof of Tropicana Field being shredded.
A shame they can't use the shredded roof as an excuse to demolish that awful venue -- I used to drive past it on the way from North Port to TPA airport. Unfortunately, as the article mentions, the new stadium won't be ready until at least 2028 so the Rays will have to fix it.
 
It does not seem very energy efficient having what looks like a thin (uninsulated? Teflon?) roof in a climate like Tampa.

In another thread I mentioned, The Light Pirate, an interesting fictional book on what could happen in the not very distant future in Florida. How long will Florida be able to repair (or insure against) damage like they've experienced twice in less than two weeks if it happens every year?

California is not spared in this book as wildfires were affecting life there which is already happening.
From https://www.mercurynews.com/2024/10...uyers-who-cant-get-insured-pull-out-of-deals/
"For a $2 million house in Woodside, Hayes estimates that annual payments run between $15,000 and $20,000." $2M is less than half the median home price in Woodside and that $15-20K insurance cost is for limited coverage California Fair Plan available as a last resort where commercial insurance companies won't provide coverage.
 
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Be interesting to see what the barrier islands look like going forward. Until now there were(are?) tons of 1960's & 1970's single story bungalows selling for recent $1-2M+ on those islands including Siesta Key where Milton made landfall. There are already existing local rules on only being able to spend a certain % of the value of the place on repairs or upgrades without having to essentially fully rebuild the entire structure up to current hurricane code. I suspect most of those bungalows are going to be scraped and then rebuilt on stilts to current code.

I'll be in the area for turkey week. Fortunately at my 6.5 miles inland air BNB (not currently occupied), loss of power and internet/cable seems to be the only issues... Though some big branches on outside trees were ripped off (in the direction away from the condo fortunately). A friend who lives a few miles further inland didn't know, but turns out he lives on the same electrical circuit/grid as a nearby fire station so he only lost power for like 2 hours. Though his screened structure for his pool was trashed a bit.

Outside of the barrier islands and tornado hit homes I think things went far better than many expected overall.
 
Outside of the barrier islands and tornado hit homes I think things went far better than many expected overall.
1) Landfall was Category 3, not 4 or 5
2) Landfall was sooner than expected; high tide was a few hours later.
Combination of 1) and 2) was that max storm surge was 8-9 feet, not 12-15 as some predicted.

The big difference was where the storm made landfall. Max storm surge is on the right side of the path in the northern hemisphere and winds can actually suck water out on the left side. So landfall in Siesta Key near Sarasota meant that Tampa Bay was on the left side. Helene was 100 miles offshore but Florida's Gulf Coast barrier islands were on its right side.

The barrier island Sand Key opposite Liz' place had extensive storm surge damage from Helene (we've seen a few drone videos of places we recognize) but probably nothing from Milton. Liz' place has a lot of downed tree branches (large ones that need to be chainsawed) and cosmetic pillar in the front of the house was torn away by wind from Milton. But her area was 15 miles farther away from the storm track than St. Petersburg. Flooding in St. Pete was due to the 18 inches of rain.

I had read after Ian 2 years ago in the Fort Myers area that old barrier island bungalows will never be rebuilt and if replaced will be by big $$$ reinforced houses like the ones we saw under construction in 2020.
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Some but not all of these places limit ground floor space to garages and storage.

Sand Key's beachfront has varied but continuous development except for a park at its far north end. Clearwater and Redington have high rise condos and hotels. Indian Rocks has condos/apartments limited to 5 stories. Madeira at the far south end plus Belleair have the big $$$ single family homes.
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Notice also the "fingers" inside the Intracoastal Waterway, which were dredged to build maximum numbers of homes with boat docks.

There have been quite a few anecdotal articles about Helene from Sand Key residents. Helene's damage was unprecedented in long time residents' memory. As we know this area has not had a direct hurricane hit since 1921.
 
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Interestingly a beach I've never been to. I spent a lot of spring breaks just north in Clearwater in the 70's and 80's where a couple of long since passed family members had retirement homes/condos back in the day. Then my parent bought a place south in Bradenton nearly 30 years ago, but importantly well after Cat 5 Andrew damage to S Florida had caused major changes to building codes in FL by then.

For reference, due to so many downed trees ripping out power lines inland, my place just got electricity yesterday and internet back today.
 
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