Northeastern U.S. Weather & Conditions

berkshireskier said:
Who gets married in Maine in January??
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Must be a beach wedding. Sounds lovely.

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I didn’t read the details closely until now. The big powder days in the Northeast are forecast to be Monday/Tuesday. Berkshireskier lives in the bullseye of the forecast.
 
Tony Crocker said:
That NY radar pic looks like classic lake effect; downwind east of Lake Erie and Ontario, not SE towards the Catskills. Can the wind blow NW to SE over the lakes? I'm sure it can, but the fetch over water is shorter and ensuing distance over land to the Catskills is much farther than to Tug Hill. And I'm reasonably sure that the pattern shown in that radar pic is far more frequent.
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It was just a random screencap showing lake effect snow falling in ski areas that were not included in the lake effect circle in the map above. We rarely get lake effect here at Gore, but the last 2 days have been great.

Is Oak a lake effect area? It was today.

My point was that lake effect impacts certain areas often, and many other areas enough to matter.
 
berkshireskier said:
Sometimes, just the opposite, Tony. People who might otherwise be driving up from NYC or the NYC suburbs to ski for the weekend will stay home when they see the predictions that driving back home on Sunday, in the height of the storm, will be terrible and Monday may not be much better. Plus, it is supposed to be brutally cold on Saturday with wind chills 20 to 30 (F) below zero. Not a good day to be on the slopes. Typically, ski areas in the northeast HATE forecasts like this one.
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I assume everyone in New England will be on the couch on Sunday due to the cold, and watch the New England Patriots crush Denver on their way to the SuperBowl, the first post-Brady.

I think the record shows he was the magic, moreso than Bill Belichick.
 
jasoncapecod said:
It was warm air advection before the arctic front
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I need to understand this, can you explain? Is this snow that falls, when there is no low, but has no lake enhancement?

I assume when the snow is starting in the lee of the lakes and progressing outward from there, the lake is in play.

Is this a regular occurance?

Regardless, claiming Plattekill gets no lake love, is not correct.
 
Harvey said:
claiming Plattekill gets no lake love, is not correct.
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That ^^ was a case of designing a visually impressive map and building a narrative afterward to match it.

If he'd then gone into ChatGPT and asked "wait, doesn't Plattekill actually get a few instances of lake effect every season?", it would've replied "Good catch! Your instincts are correct, as always! Lake-effect streams do reach the western Catskills a small handful of times each winter!"
 
Tony Crocker said:
I didn’t read the details closely until now. The big powder days in the Northeast are forecast to be Monday/Tuesday. Berkshireskier lives in the bullseye of the forecast.
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Yea, Tony, we're, more or less, in the bullseye for maximum snow, here in central New England. At least 12" and maybe up to 18"to 24" in certain locations (somewhat elevation dependent), according to the weather forecasters. It should be a very light, fluffy snow (maybe not quite the blower powder of the Rockies, though) with high temps during the storm only in the mid-teens. Monday and Tuesday should be good ski days around here. I may try to go on either day. It's been a few years since we have had a major snow storm around here, so people (including skiers) are excited.
 
ChrisC said:
I assume everyone in New England will be on the couch on Sunday due to the cold, and watch the New England Patriots crush Denver on their way to the SuperBowl, the first post-Brady.

I think the record shows he was the magic, moreso than Bill Belichick.
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No doubt many Pats' fans will be indoors on Sunday watching the game. It's a good thing it's not being played in Foxboro. That time is predicted to be, pretty much, the height of the storm with blizzard conditions possible then. I don't know if the NFL would have postponed the game?

Re Bill B: Yea, as a coach, it's always a good thing when you have superior talent on the field or on the court or on the rink. Bill B may be living proof of that.
 
berkshireskier said:
It's a good thing it's not being played in Foxboro. That time is predicted to be, pretty much, the height of the storm with blizzard conditions possible then.
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Still going to be a very wintery game out here in Denver. Forecast is for temps in the mid-teens at the 1pm game time with ~1-3 inches of snow starting to fall by ~2nd half of the game. Though as we all know, the exact timing of snowfall by the hour is usually not too accurate a few days out.
 
jamesdeluxe said:
"Lake-effect streams do reach the western Catskills a small handful of times each winter!"
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This discussion reminds me of those who say lake effect is big part of LCC snowfall. Jim Steenburgh, the guru of Utah snow, say lake effect is 5-10% of LCC snow. The fundamental reason Plattekill gets more snow than other Catskill areas is that it's on the western leading edge. That applies to the occasional lake effect events too.
 
Here's a part of the OpenSnow forecast for NY State as of the morning of Jan. 25, sorted by 24-hour snowfall. Greek Peak will also do well with 9-13" daytime and 7-11" for the nighttime forecast.

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